SOUTH ALABAMA -6.75 · EDGE loss; OVER 48.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · HANCOCK WHITNEY STADIUM
Ohio1-134%
South Alabama1-166%
OHIONATL RANKUSA
77th
Model Overall
120th
75th
Model Offense
108th
73rd
Model Defense
127th
-3.2
Pace
0.2
63%
Returning PPA
79%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total53.0
Model total55.9
SOUTH ALABAMA -6.75 · EDGE LOSSOVER 48.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Ohio +6.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
Ohio line
+6.5
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Ohio line +3.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Ohio line +5.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Ohio line +6.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Ohio line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Ohio line +6.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Ohio line +6.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: OHIO wk 3 · USA wk 3
Model margin
South Alabama by 9.60
Opening line
Ohio +3.75
Latest line
Ohio +7
Close total
49.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
OHIO36
FINALHancock Whitney Stadium
USA41
WinSouth AlabamaWIN HIT
ATSSOUTH ALABAMA -6.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 48.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
