Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Ball State line +14.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Ball State line +14.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Ball State line +14.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Ball State line +14.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Ball State line +14.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Ball State line +14.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 3 · LIB wk 3
Model margin
Liberty by 21.77
Opening line
Ball State +14.25
Latest line
Ball State +14.5
Close total
49.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BALL15
FINALWilliams Stadium (VA)
LIB51
WinLibertyWIN HIT
TotalOVER 49.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
