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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Charlotte @ App State

APP STATE -17.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · KIDD BREWER STADIUM
Charlotte0-25%
App State2-095%
CLTNATL RANKAPP
132nd
Model Overall
123rd
138th
Model Offense
120th
70th
Model Defense
116th
-8.1
Pace
0.8
41%
Returning PPA
38%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.0
Model total54.3
APP STATE -17.25 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Charlotte +17.25 · EDGE

+16+17+18+19+20+21Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Charlotte line
+17.25
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Charlotte line +20.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Charlotte line +17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Charlotte line +17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Charlotte line +17.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Charlotte line +17.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Charlotte line +17.25; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: CLT wk 3 · APP wk 3

Model margin
App State by 19.31
Opening line
Charlotte +20
Latest line
Charlotte +16.25
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CLT21
FINALKidd Brewer Stadium
APP26
  • WinApp StateWIN HIT
  • ATSAPP STATE -17.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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