Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 7 · 2026 season

San José State @ UTEP

OVER 45.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · SUN BOWL
San José State3-375%
UTEP1-525%
SJSUNATL RANKUTEP
105th
Model Overall
135th
103rd
Model Offense
131st
108th
Model Defense
125th
-1.2
Pace
-2.5
4%
Returning PPA
-1%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.3
Model total53.0
OVER 45.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: San José State -7.0 · No signal

-10-9-8-7-6Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

San José State line
-7.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; San José State line -9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; San José State line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; San José State line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; San José State line -7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; San José State line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; San José State line -7.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: SJSU wk 7 · UTEP wk 7

Model margin
San José State by 6.05
Opening line
San José State -9.5
Latest line
San José State -6.75
Close total
46.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

SJSU24
FINALSun Bowl
UTEP11
  • WinSan José StateWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 45.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 7 board