SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · CLARENCE T.C. CHING ATHLETICS COMPLEX
New Mexico4-170%
Hawai'i1-530%
UNMNATL RANKHAW
69th
Model Overall
80th
95th
Model Offense
54th
48th
Model Defense
96th
-5.4
Pace
0.2
58%
Returning PPA
65%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total47.5
Model total47.6
OVER 44.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: New Mexico -14.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET
New Mexico line
-14.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; New Mexico line -14.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UNM wk 7 · HAW wk 7
Model margin
New Mexico by 8.87
Opening line
New Mexico -14.75
Latest line
New Mexico -14.5
Close total
46.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UNM21
FINALClarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
HAW10
WinNew MexicoWIN HIT
TotalOVER 44.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.