Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Nevada line -6.0; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Nevada line -3.75; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Nevada line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Nevada line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Nevada line -3.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Nevada line -3.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: NEV wk 3 · MTSU wk 3
Model margin
Nevada by 3.82
Opening line
Nevada -6
Latest line
Nevada -3.75
Close total
50.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NEV20
FINALJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
MTSU27
WinNevadaWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
