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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 7 · 2026 season

Kent State @ South Florida

OVER 45.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM
Kent State2-410%
South Florida4-290%
KENTNATL RANKUSF
102nd
Model Overall
34th
99th
Model Offense
25th
107th
Model Defense
51st
-9.3
Pace
1.6
64%
Returning PPA
13%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.0
Model total50.4
OVER 45.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Kent State +20.5 · No signal

+18+19+20+21+22Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Kent State line
+20.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Kent State line +19.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Kent State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Kent State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Kent State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Kent State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Kent State line +20.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: KENT wk 7 · USF wk 7

Model margin
South Florida by 14.70
Opening line
Kent State +19.25
Latest line
Kent State +20.5
Close total
46.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

KENT2
FINALRaymond James Stadium
USF29
  • WinSouth FloridaWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 45.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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