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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

UConn @ Southern Miss

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · M. M. ROBERTS STADIUM
UConn1-142%
Southern Miss1-158%
CONNNATL RANKUSM
92nd
Model Overall
98th
39th
Model Offense
104th
132nd
Model Defense
92nd
-2.5
Pace
0.3
2%
Returning PPA
90%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.8
Model total55.1

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UConn -3.0 · No signal

-4-3-2Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

UConn line
-3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; UConn line -3.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: CONN wk 3 · USM wk 3

Model margin
Southern Miss by 5.81
Opening line
UConn -3
Latest line
UConn -3.5
Close total
54.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CONN48
FINALM. M. Roberts Stadium
USM20
  • WinSouthern MissWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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