Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; North Texas line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; North Texas line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; North Texas line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; North Texas line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; North Texas line +2.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; North Texas line +3.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UNT wk 3 · TXST wk 3
Model margin
Texas State by 4.79
Opening line
North Texas +3
Latest line
North Texas +3
Close total
62.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UNT35
FINALBobcat Stadium (TX)
TXST49
WinTexas StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.