SAN JOSÉ STATE +6.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · CEFCU STADIUM
Fresno State1-171%
San José State2-129%
FRESNATL RANKSJSU
63rd
Model Overall
105th
115th
Model Offense
103rd
22nd
Model Defense
108th
-1.9
Pace
-1.2
38%
Returning PPA
4%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total51.5
Model total49.2
SAN JOSÉ STATE +6.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Fresno State -6.25 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
Fresno State line
-6.25
Producer tier
EDGE
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Fresno State line -7.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Fresno State line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Fresno State line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Fresno State line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Fresno State line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Fresno State line -6.25; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: FRES wk 3 · SJSU wk 3
Model margin
Fresno State by 3.88
Opening line
Fresno State -7.25
Latest line
Fresno State -4
Close total
47.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
FRES26
FINALCEFCU Stadium
SJSU10
WinFresno StateWIN HIT
ATSSAN JOSÉ STATE +6.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
