JAMES MADISON +1.5 · EDGE win; OVER 46.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · SNAPDRAGON STADIUM
James Madison2-058%
San Diego State1-142%
JMUNATL RANKSDSU
18th
Model Overall
61st
27th
Model Offense
109th
24th
Model Defense
25th
0.9
Pace
-2.7
8%
Returning PPA
99%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total46.5
Model total50.9
JAMES MADISON +1.5 · EDGE WINOVER 46.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: James Madison +2.25 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
James Madison line
+2.25
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; James Madison line +2.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; James Madison line +2.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; James Madison line +2.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; James Madison line +2.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; James Madison line +1.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; James Madison line +2.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: JMU wk 3 · SDSU wk 3
Model margin
James Madison by 3.36
Opening line
James Madison +2
Latest line
James Madison +3
Close total
46.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
JMU26
FINALSnapdragon Stadium
SDSU13
WinJames MadisonWIN HIT
ATSJAMES MADISON +1.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalOVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
