RUTGERS +24 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · SHI STADIUM
USC3-087%
Rutgers0-213%
USCNATL RANKRUTG
33rd
Model Overall
76th
15th
Model Offense
28th
65th
Model Defense
122nd
-3.1
Pace
0.6
59%
Returning PPA
44%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total57.5
RUTGERS +24 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: USC -21.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
USC line
-21.75
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; USC line -24.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; USC line -24.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; USC line -23.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; USC line -23.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; USC line -21.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; USC line -21.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: USC wk 3 · RUTG wk 3
Model margin
USC by 15.82
Opening line
USC -24.5
Latest line
USC -21
Close total
59.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
USC42
FINALSHI Stadium
RUTG35
WinUSCWIN HIT
ATSRUTGERS +24 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.