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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

AP rank 12USC @ Rutgers

RUTGERS +24 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · SHI STADIUM
USC3-087%
Rutgers0-213%
USCNATL RANKRUTG
33rd
Model Overall
76th
15th
Model Offense
28th
65th
Model Defense
122nd
-3.1
Pace
0.6
59%
Returning PPA
44%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total57.5
RUTGERS +24 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: USC -21.75 · No signal

-26-25-24-23-22-21Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

USC line
-21.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; USC line -24.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; USC line -24.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; USC line -23.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; USC line -23.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; USC line -21.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; USC line -21.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: USC wk 3 · RUTG wk 3

Model margin
USC by 15.82
Opening line
USC -24.5
Latest line
USC -21
Close total
59.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USC42
FINALSHI Stadium
RUTG35
  • WinUSCWIN HIT
  • ATSRUTGERS +24 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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