Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Buffalo line +39.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Buffalo line +39.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Buffalo line +40.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Buffalo line +40.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Buffalo line +40.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Buffalo line +39.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BUF wk 3 · PSU wk 3
Model margin
Penn State by 38.14
Opening line
Buffalo +39
Latest line
Buffalo +39.75
Close total
48.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BUF13
FINALBeaver Stadium
PSU55
WinPenn StateWIN HIT
TotalOVER 47.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
