MICHIGAN -35.25 · EDGE loss; OVER 48.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · MICHIGAN STADIUM
UTEP1-11%
Michigan2-099%
UTEPNATL RANKMICH
135th
Model Overall
56th
131st
Model Offense
60th
125th
Model Defense
52nd
-2.5
Pace
-3.0
-1%
Returning PPA
69%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total49.5
Model total52.1
MICHIGAN -35.25 · EDGE LOSSOVER 48.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: UTEP +34.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
UTEP line
+34.5
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; UTEP line +36.75; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; UTEP line +35.25; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; UTEP line +35.25; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; UTEP line +35.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; UTEP line +34.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; UTEP line +34.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UTEP wk 3 · MICH wk 3
Model margin
Michigan by 39.83
Opening line
UTEP +36.75
Latest line
UTEP +34.5
Close total
48.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UTEP17
FINALMichigan Stadium
MICH52
WinMichiganWIN HIT
ATSMICHIGAN -35.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 48.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
