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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 7 · 2026 season

Virginia @ SMU

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · GERALD J. FORD STADIUM
Virginia4-211%
SMU4-189%
UVANATL RANKSMU
40th
Model Overall
11th
88th
Model Offense
7th
14th
Model Defense
27th
3.5
Pace
-1.3
10%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.3
Model total52.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Virginia +10.0 · No signal

+7+8+9+10+11Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Virginia line
+10.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Virginia line +8.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Virginia line +9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Virginia line +9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Virginia line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Virginia line +9.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Virginia line +10.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UVA wk 7 · SMU wk 7

Model margin
SMU by 13.10
Opening line
Virginia +8.25
Latest line
Virginia +10
Close total
51.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UVA13
FINALGerald J. Ford Stadium
SMU23
  • WinSMUWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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