PITTSBURGH -6.25 · EDGE loss; OVER 42.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · ALUMNI STADIUM (CHESTNUT HILL, MA)
Pittsburgh5-183%
Boston College2-317%
PITTNATL RANKBC
24th
Model Overall
79th
66th
Model Offense
40th
9th
Model Defense
114th
0.4
Pace
-0.8
40%
Returning PPA
16%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total45.3
Model total46.9
PITTSBURGH -6.25 · EDGE LOSSOVER 42.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Pittsburgh -6.25 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET
Pittsburgh line
-6.25
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.25; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.25; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Pittsburgh line -6.25; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: PITT wk 7 · BC wk 7
Model margin
Pittsburgh by 10.55
Opening line
Pittsburgh -6.5
Latest line
Pittsburgh -6.5
Close total
42.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
PITT21
FINALAlumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
BC27
WinPittsburghWIN MISS
ATSPITTSBURGH -6.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 42.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
