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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Stanford @ Duke

OVER 51.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · WALLACE WADE STADIUM
Stanford1-134%
Duke2-066%
STANNATL RANKDUKE
55th
Model Overall
49th
67th
Model Offense
16th
50th
Model Defense
102nd
-2.0
Pace
-0.0
21%
Returning PPA
17%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.8
Model total54.3
OVER 51.25 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Stanford +10.0 · No signal

+9+10+11Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Stanford line
+10.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Stanford line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Stanford line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Stanford line +10.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: STAN wk 3 · DUKE wk 3

Model margin
Duke by 4.33
Opening line
Stanford +9.75
Latest line
Stanford +9.75
Close total
51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

STAN7
FINALWallace Wade Stadium
DUKE35
  • WinDukeWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 51.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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