OVER 51.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · WALLACE WADE STADIUM
Stanford1-134%
Duke2-066%
STANNATL RANKDUKE
55th
Model Overall
49th
67th
Model Offense
16th
50th
Model Defense
102nd
-2.0
Pace
-0.0
21%
Returning PPA
17%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.8
Model total54.3
OVER 51.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Stanford +10.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
Stanford line
+10.0
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Stanford line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Stanford line +9.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Stanford line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Stanford line +10.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: STAN wk 3 · DUKE wk 3
Model margin
Duke by 4.33
Opening line
Stanford +9.75
Latest line
Stanford +9.75
Close total
51.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
STAN7
FINALWallace Wade Stadium
DUKE35
WinDukeWIN HIT
TotalOVER 51.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.