CLEMSON -3.5 · EDGE win; OVER 43.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC)
North Carolina2-031%
Clemson1-169%
UNCNATL RANKCLEM
95th
Model Overall
27th
90th
Model Offense
48th
97th
Model Defense
23rd
-6.0
Pace
0.4
28%
Returning PPA
41%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total44.5
Model total47.1
CLEMSON -3.5 · EDGE WINOVER 43.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: North Carolina +3.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
North Carolina line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; North Carolina line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; North Carolina line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; North Carolina line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; North Carolina line +3.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; North Carolina line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; North Carolina line +3.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UNC wk 3 · CLEM wk 3
Model margin
Clemson by 9.72
Opening line
North Carolina +9.5
Latest line
North Carolina +3
Close total
44.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UNC20
FINALMemorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
CLEM28
WinClemsonWIN HIT
ATSCLEMSON -3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalOVER 43.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
