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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

AP rank 5Miami @ Wake Forest

WAKE FOREST +20.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, SEP 18 · FINAL · ALLEGACY FEDERAL CREDIT UNION STADIUM
Miami2-094%
Wake Forest2-06%
MIANATL RANKWAKE
3rd
Model Overall
32nd
13th
Model Offense
37th
2nd
Model Defense
38th
-1.8
Pace
-1.1
37%
Returning PPA
14%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.5
Model total57.0
WAKE FOREST +20.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Miami -20.5 · EDGE

-22-21-20-19Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET

Miami line
-20.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Miami line -19.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Miami line -20.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Miami line -20.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Miami line -20.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Miami line -20.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MIA wk 3 · WAKE wk 3

Model margin
Miami by 18.19
Opening line
Miami -19.5
Latest line
Miami -20.25
Close total
55.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MIA33
FINALAllegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
WAKE20
  • WinMiamiWIN HIT
  • ATSWAKE FOREST +20.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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