PITTSBURGH -10.5 · EDGE win; OVER 51.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
THU, SEP 17 · FINAL · ACRISURE STADIUM
Syracuse1-118%
Pittsburgh2-082%
SYRNATL RANKPITT
130th
Model Overall
24th
122nd
Model Offense
66th
126th
Model Defense
9th
0.2
Pace
0.4
35%
Returning PPA
40%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total59.5
Model total55.5
PITTSBURGH -10.5 · EDGE WINOVER 51.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Syracuse +10.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET
Syracuse line
+10.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; Syracuse line +10.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Syracuse line +10.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Syracuse line +10.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Syracuse line +10.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: SYR wk 3 · PITT wk 3
Model margin
Pittsburgh by 18.78
Opening line
Syracuse +10.5
Latest line
Syracuse +10.75
Close total
51.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SYR13
FINALAcrisure Stadium
PITT27
WinPittsburghWIN HIT
ATSPITTSBURGH -10.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalOVER 51.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
