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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 7 · 2026 season

TCU @ Baylor

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · MCLANE STADIUM
TCU2-338%
Baylor4-162%
TCUNATL RANKBAY
37th
Model Overall
65th
43rd
Model Offense
50th
43rd
Model Defense
66th
0.0
Pace
4.5
22%
Returning PPA
60%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.3
Model total49.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: TCU +5.5 · No signal

+5+6+7Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

TCU line
+5.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; TCU line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; TCU line +6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; TCU line +6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; TCU line +6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; TCU line +5.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; TCU line +5.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TCU wk 7 · BAY wk 7

Model margin
Baylor by 5.67
Opening line
TCU +6.5
Latest line
TCU +4.5
Close total
50.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TCU17
FINALMcLane Stadium
BAY6
  • WinBaylorWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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