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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:03 AM ET

Week 7 · 2026 season

AP rank 18Oklahoma State @ AP rank 20Houston

UNDER 61.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · TDECU STADIUM
Oklahoma State4-113%
Houston5-187%
OKSTNATL RANKHOU
107th
Model Overall
70th
116th
Model Offense
47th
91st
Model Defense
87th
-3.2
Pace
0.4
0%
Returning PPA
81%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total56.9
UNDER 61.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oklahoma State +4.5 · No signal

+3+4+5+6Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Oklahoma State line
+4.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +4.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Oklahoma State line +4.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: OKST wk 7 · HOU wk 7

Model margin
Houston by 15.83
Opening line
Oklahoma State +3.5
Latest line
Oklahoma State +4.25
Close total
62.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

OKST32
FINALTDECU Stadium
HOU35
  • WinHoustonWIN HIT
  • TotalUNDER 61.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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