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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

AP rank 22Houston @ AP rank 13Texas Tech

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, SEP 18 · FINAL · JONES AT&T STADIUM
Houston2-021%
Texas Tech2-079%
HOUNATL RANKTTU
70th
Model Overall
4th
47th
Model Offense
33rd
87th
Model Defense
1st
0.4
Pace
4.5
81%
Returning PPA
53%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.0
Model total53.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Houston +7.5 · No signal

+6+7+8+9+10+11+12+13+14+15Open5:03 PMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET

Houston line
+7.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Houston line +13.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Houston line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Houston line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Houston line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Houston line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: HOU wk 3 · TTU wk 3

Model margin
Texas Tech by 12.03
Opening line
Houston +13.5
Latest line
Houston +8
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

HOU26
FINALJones AT&T Stadium
TTU28
  • WinTexas TechWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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