Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

West Virginia @ AP rank 25Virginia

WEST VIRGINIA +10.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM · NEUTRAL SITE
West Virginia2-030%
Virginia2-070%
WVUNATL RANKUVA
86th
Model Overall
40th
100th
Model Offense
88th
58th
Model Defense
14th
0.5
Pace
3.5
14%
Returning PPA
10%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.5
Model total51.8
WEST VIRGINIA +10.25 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: West Virginia +10.75 · No signal

+8+9+10+11+12Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

West Virginia line
+10.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Sep 10, 11:02:28 AM ET; West Virginia line +8.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; West Virginia line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; West Virginia line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; West Virginia line +10.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; West Virginia line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; West Virginia line +10.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: WVU wk 3 · UVA wk 3

Model margin
Virginia by 7.47
Opening line
West Virginia +8.5
Latest line
West Virginia +10.75
Close total
51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

WVU38
FINALBank of America Stadium
UVA27
  • WinVirginiaWIN MISS
  • ATSWEST VIRGINIA +10.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 3 board