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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Utah State @ AP rank 17Utah

UTAH -27.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · RICE-ECCLES STADIUM
Utah State0-22%
Utah2-098%
USUNATL RANKUTAH
87th
Model Overall
12th
71st
Model Offense
6th
100th
Model Defense
41st
-1.5
Pace
0.6
65%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.3
Model total56.6
UTAH -27.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Utah State +27.5 · EDGE

+27+28+29Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Utah State line
+27.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Utah State line +27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Utah State line +28.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Utah State line +28.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Utah State line +28.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Utah State line +27.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Utah State line +27.5; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: USU wk 3 · UTAH wk 3

Model margin
Utah by 30.21
Opening line
Utah State +27.75
Latest line
Utah State +26.25
Close total
55.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USU0
FINALRice-Eccles Stadium
UTAH33
  • WinUtahWIN HIT
  • ATSUTAH -27.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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