Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Georgia State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Georgia State line +18.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Georgia State line +18.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Georgia State line +18.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Georgia State line +17.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Georgia State line +17.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 3 · UCF wk 3
Model margin
UCF by 12.38
Opening line
Georgia State +20.75
Latest line
Georgia State +17.5
Close total
50.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
GAST30
FINALFBC Mortgage Stadium
UCF44
WinUCFWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
