ARKANSAS STATE +19.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · AMON G. CARTER STADIUM
Arkansas State1-115%
TCU1-185%
ARSTNATL RANKTCU
122nd
Model Overall
37th
127th
Model Offense
43rd
94th
Model Defense
43rd
3.7
Pace
0.0
30%
Returning PPA
22%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total57.1
ARKANSAS STATE +19.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Arkansas State +18.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
Arkansas State line
+18.75
Producer tier
No signal
Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Arkansas State line +20.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Arkansas State line +20.25; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Arkansas State line +20.25; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Arkansas State line +19.75; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Arkansas State line +18.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Arkansas State line +18.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: ARST wk 3 · TCU wk 3
Model margin
TCU by 17.50
Opening line
Arkansas State +20.25
Latest line
Arkansas State +19
Close total
56.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ARST7
FINALAmon G. Carter Stadium
TCU31
WinTCUWIN HIT
ATSARKANSAS STATE +19.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
