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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Bowling Green @ Iowa State

OVER 44.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · JACK TRICE STADIUM
Bowling Green0-23%
Iowa State1-197%
BGSUNATL RANKISU
133rd
Model Overall
51st
135th
Model Offense
70th
106th
Model Defense
44th
-3.9
Pace
-0.4
-6%
Returning PPA
2%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total45.8
Model total49.1
OVER 44.25 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Bowling Green +23.25 · No signal

+22+23+24+25Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Bowling Green line
+23.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +22.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Bowling Green line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Bowling Green line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Bowling Green line +23.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Bowling Green line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Bowling Green line +23.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BGSU wk 3 · ISU wk 3

Model margin
Iowa State by 26.31
Opening line
Bowling Green +22.75
Latest line
Bowling Green +22.75
Close total
43.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BGSU7
FINALJack Trice Stadium
ISU55
  • WinIowa StateWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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