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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET
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Week 3 · 2026 season

Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · TQL STADIUM
Miami (OH)1-117%
Cincinnati2-083%
M-OHNATL RANKCIN
94th
Model Overall
62nd
112th
Model Offense
31st
75th
Model Defense
90th
-6.2
Pace
-6.1
14%
Returning PPA
8%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.3
Model total52.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Miami (OH) +15.5 · No signal

+14+15+16Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Miami (OH) line
+15.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +15.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +14.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +14.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +15.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +15.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Miami (OH) line +15.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: M-OH wk 3 · CIN wk 3

Model margin
Cincinnati by 14.67
Opening line
Miami (OH) +15
Latest line
Miami (OH) +14.5
Close total
50.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

M-OH31
FINALTQL Stadium
CIN35
  • WinCincinnatiWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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