Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

AP rank 11BYU @ Colorado State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · CANVAS STADIUM
BYU2-087%
Colorado State2-013%
BYUNATL RANKCSU
22nd
Model Overall
124th
24th
Model Offense
105th
32nd
Model Defense
131st
-1.8
Pace
-5.0
79%
Returning PPA
40%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.3
Model total52.6

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: BYU -17.25 · No signal

-20-19-18-17-16Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

BYU line
-17.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; BYU line -19.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; BYU line -17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; BYU line -17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; BYU line -17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; BYU line -17.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; BYU line -17.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BYU wk 3 · CSU wk 3

Model margin
BYU by 14.02
Opening line
BYU -19.5
Latest line
BYU -17.5
Close total
54.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BYU41
FINALCanvas Stadium
CSU23
  • WinBYUWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 3 board