Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +35.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +34.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +34.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +34.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +33.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +33.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: NIU wk 3 · ARIZ wk 3
Model margin
Arizona by 34.70
Opening line
Northern Illinois +35
Latest line
Northern Illinois +34.5
Close total
50.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NIU17
FINALArizona Stadium
ARIZ42
WinArizonaWIN HIT
TotalOVER 50.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.