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WK 7 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:03 AM ET

Week 7 · 2026 season

Florida @ AP rank 7Texas

TEXAS -8.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · DKR-TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM
Florida4-214%
Texas4-186%
FLANATL RANKTEX
36th
Model Overall
15th
23rd
Model Offense
11th
54th
Model Defense
33rd
-5.5
Pace
-2.8
69%
Returning PPA
72%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total52.0
TEXAS -8.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Florida +12.0 · No signal

+9+10+11+12+13Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET

Florida line
+12.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Florida line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Florida line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Florida line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Florida line +10.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Florida line +11.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Florida line +12.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: FLA wk 7 · TEX wk 7

Model margin
Texas by 11.03
Opening line
Florida +9.5
Latest line
Florida +13
Close total
51.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

FLA27
FINALDKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
TEX24
  • WinTexasWIN MISS
  • ATSTEXAS -8.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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