MISSISSIPPI STATE +18.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 17 · FINAL · TIGER STADIUM (LA)
Mississippi State4-121%
LSU4-279%
MSSTNATL RANKLSU
72nd
Model Overall
52nd
55th
Model Offense
89th
80th
Model Defense
30th
1.9
Pace
-3.6
34%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total59.5
Model total57.7
MISSISSIPPI STATE +18.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Mississippi State +18.25 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET
Mississippi State line
+18.25
Producer tier
EDGE
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Mississippi State line +12.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 13, 11:03:28 AM ET; Mississippi State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Oct 14, 11:03:17 AM ET; Mississippi State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 15, 11:02:56 AM ET; Mississippi State line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 16, 11:03:04 AM ET; Mississippi State line +15.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 17, 11:04:55 AM ET; Mississippi State line +18.25; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: MSST wk 7 · LSU wk 7
Model margin
LSU by 9.72
Opening line
Mississippi State +12.5
Latest line
Mississippi State +17.75
Close total
56.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MSST0
FINALTiger Stadium (LA)
LSU31
WinLSUWIN HIT
ATSMISSISSIPPI STATE +18.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
