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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

UTSA @ AP rank 1Texas

UTSA +29.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · DKR-TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM
UTSA2-04%
Texas2-096%
UTSANATL RANKTEX
50th
Model Overall
15th
58th
Model Offense
11th
47th
Model Defense
33rd
0.6
Pace
-2.8
67%
Returning PPA
72%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.8
Model total58.5
UTSA +29.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UTSA +29.75 · EDGE

+29+30+31Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

UTSA line
+29.75
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; UTSA line +29.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; UTSA line +30.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; UTSA line +30.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; UTSA line +30.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; UTSA line +30.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; UTSA line +29.75; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: UTSA wk 3 · TEX wk 3

Model margin
Texas by 26.94
Opening line
UTSA +29.75
Latest line
UTSA +29.75
Close total
58.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UTSA6
FINALDKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
TEX30
  • WinTexasWIN HIT
  • ATSUTSA +29.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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