Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

New Mexico @ AP rank 24Oklahoma

NEW MEXICO +21.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (NORMAN, OK)
New Mexico2-016%
Oklahoma1-184%
UNMNATL RANKOU
69th
Model Overall
17th
95th
Model Offense
62nd
48th
Model Defense
4th
-5.4
Pace
-1.3
58%
Returning PPA
63%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.3
Model total46.3
NEW MEXICO +21.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: New Mexico +21.75 · EDGE

+21+22+23+24Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

New Mexico line
+21.75
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; New Mexico line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; New Mexico line +23.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; New Mexico line +23.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; New Mexico line +22.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; New Mexico line +21.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; New Mexico line +21.75; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: UNM wk 3 · OU wk 3

Model margin
Oklahoma by 17.05
Opening line
New Mexico +23.5
Latest line
New Mexico +21.25
Close total
45.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UNM6
FINALMemorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
OU14
  • WinOklahomaWIN HIT
  • ATSNEW MEXICO +21.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 3 board