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WK 3 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED MON 8:35 AM ET

Week 3 · 2026 season

Troy @ AP rank 20Missouri

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM
Troy2-06%
Missouri2-094%
TROYNATL RANKMIZ
96th
Model Overall
25th
129th
Model Offense
64th
46th
Model Defense
10th
-2.1
Pace
-0.4
35%
Returning PPA
42%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.5
Model total48.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Troy +27.25 · No signal

+26+27+28Open8:35 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:03 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET

Troy line
+27.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Mon, Sep 14, 8:35:15 AM ET; Troy line +27.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Troy line +26.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Troy line +26.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Troy line +26.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Troy line +27.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Troy line +27.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TROY wk 3 · MIZ wk 3

Model margin
Missouri by 25.24
Opening line
Troy +27.25
Latest line
Troy +26.75
Close total
49.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TROY17
FINALMemorial Stadium
MIZ27
  • WinMissouriWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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