OLE MISS +3 · EDGE win; UNDER 59.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · VAUGHT-HEMINGWAY STADIUM
LSU2-043%
Ole Miss2-057%
LSUNATL RANKMISS
52nd
Model Overall
8th
89th
Model Offense
4th
30th
Model Defense
35th
-3.6
Pace
3.2
21%
Returning PPA
50%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total55.1
OLE MISS +3 · EDGE WINUNDER 59.25 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: LSU -3.0 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
LSU line
-3.0
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; LSU line +1.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; LSU line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; LSU line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; LSU line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; LSU line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; LSU line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: LSU wk 3 · MISS wk 3
Model margin
Ole Miss by 5.45
Opening line
LSU +1.5
Latest line
LSU -2.75
Close total
58.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
LSU24
FINALVaught-Hemingway Stadium
MISS32
WinOle MissWIN HIT
ATSOLE MISS +3 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalUNDER 59.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
