AUBURN +2.5 · EDGE loss; OVER 53.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 19 · FINAL · JORDAN-HARE STADIUM
Florida2-065%
Auburn2-035%
FLANATL RANKAUB
36th
Model Overall
14th
23rd
Model Offense
30th
54th
Model Defense
13th
-5.5
Pace
-0.2
69%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total53.5
Model total56.5
AUBURN +2.5 · EDGE LOSSOVER 53.25 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Florida -2.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET
Florida line
-2.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Florida line +1.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 15, 11:02:28 AM ET; Florida line -2.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 16, 11:02:15 AM ET; Florida line -2.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 17, 11:02:43 AM ET; Florida line -2.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Florida line -2.25; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 19, 11:03:28 AM ET; Florida line -2.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: FLA wk 3 · AUB wk 3
Model margin
Auburn by 0.05
Opening line
Florida +1.5
Latest line
Florida -2.5
Close total
53.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
FLA44
FINALJordan-Hare Stadium
AUB39
WinFloridaWIN HIT
ATSAUBURN +2.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 53.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
