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WK 2 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 2 · 2025 season

North Carolina Central @ Old Dominion

Graded and filed. All four markets are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 6 · FINAL · S.B. BALLARD STADIUM
North Carolina Central1%
Old Dominion10-399%
North Carolina CentralNATL RANKODU
n/ano rank
Overall rating
no rank0.2
n/ano rank
Offense rating
no rank0.1
n/ano rank
Defense rating
no rank0.1
n/ano rank
Pace
no rank-0.1
n/ano rank
Returning PPA
no rank74%
n/ano rank
Power rank
50th#50
n/ano rank
Recruiting rank
102nd#102

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total50.5
Model total52.1
NO BADGE THIS GAME

RATINGS AS OF: ODU wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+29.1
Open spread
-20.0
Close spread
-21.8
Close total
49.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

North Carolina Central6
FINALS.B. Ballard Stadium
ODU54
  • WinOld DominionWIN HIT
  • ATSOld DominionATS HIT
  • TotalsOVER 49.5TOTAL HIT
  • Edgeno badgePASS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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