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WK 13 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 13 · 2025 season

Arizona State @ Colorado

The OVER 48.8 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 22 · FINAL · FOLSOM FIELD
Arizona State8-579%
Colorado3-921%
ASUNATL RANKCOLO
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.0
0.1no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.0
0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.0
1.3no rank
Pace
no rank-4.1
70%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank7%
#3939th
Power rank
104th#104
#4444th
Recruiting rank
37th#37

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total48.8
Model total53.9
EDGE OVER 48.8 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: ASU wk 17 · COLO wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-6.9
Open spread
+7.5
Close spread
+7.0
Close total
47.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

ASU42
FINALFolsom Field
COLO17
  • WinArizona StateWIN HIT
  • ATSColoradoATS MISS
  • TotalsOVER 47.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeOVER 48.8EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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