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WK 7 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 7 · 2025 season

Wake Forest @ Oregon State

The OVER 52.5 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 11 · FINAL · RESER STADIUM
Wake Forest9-472%
Oregon State2-1028%
WAKENATL RANKORST
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank-0.1
0.2no rank
Offense rating
no rank-0.0
0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank-0.1
-1.9no rank
Pace
no rank0.4
26%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank52%
#4646th
Power rank
115th#115
#6363rd
Recruiting rank
64th#64

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total52.5
Model total55.7
EDGE OVER 52.5 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: WAKE wk 17 · ORST wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-5.0
Open spread
+2.5
Close spread
+1.5
Close total
47.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

WAKE39
FINALReser Stadium
ORST14
  • WinWake ForestWIN HIT
  • ATSWake ForestATS HIT
  • TotalsOVER 47.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeOVER 52.5EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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