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WK 13 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 13 · 2025 season

Rutgers @ Ohio State

Graded and filed. All four markets are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 22 · FINAL · OHIO STADIUM
Rutgers5-71%
Ohio State12-299%
RUTGNATL RANKOSU
0.1no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.5
0.2no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.3
-0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank0.2
1.5no rank
Pace
no rank-5.5
67%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank31%
#9393rd
Power rank
3rd#3
#3333rd
Recruiting rank
4th#4

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total55.8
Model total58.5
NO BADGE THIS GAME

RATINGS AS OF: RUTG wk 17 · OSU wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+25.8
Open spread
-32.5
Close spread
-28.5
Close total
54.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

RUTG9
FINALOhio Stadium
OSU42
  • WinOhio StateWIN HIT
  • ATSRutgersATS MISS
  • TotalsOVER 54.5TOTAL MISS
  • Edgeno badgePASS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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