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WK 13 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 13 · 2025 season

Tennessee @ Florida

The UNDER 57.5 cashed. The full grade is below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 22 · FINAL · BEN HILL GRIFFIN STADIUM
Tennessee8-561%
Florida4-839%
TENNNATL RANKFLA
0.3no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.2
0.3no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.2
0.0no rank
Defense rating
no rank0.0
3.1no rank
Pace
no rank-6.8
22%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank55%
#2424th
Power rank
48th#48
#1111th
Recruiting rank
7th#7

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total57.5
Model total54.1
EDGE UNDER 57.5 · HIT

RATINGS AS OF: TENN wk 17 · FLA wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
-5.7
Open spread
+3.5
Close spread
+3.5
Close total
57.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

TENN31
FINALBen Hill Griffin Stadium
FLA11
  • WinTennesseeWIN HIT
  • ATSTennesseeATS HIT
  • TotalsUNDER 57.5TOTAL HIT
  • EdgeUNDER 57.5EDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

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