Downfield DataGet the board
WK 7 · 2025FINALOPENER CAPTURED WED 3:46 PM ET

Week 7 · 2025 season

Washington State @ Ole Miss

Graded and filed. All four markets are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 11 · FINAL · VAUGHT-HEMINGWAY STADIUM
Washington State7-63%
Ole Miss13-297%
WSUNATL RANKMISS
0.2no rank
Overall rating
no rank0.5
0.1no rank
Offense rating
no rank0.4
0.1no rank
Defense rating
no rank0.1
-5.0no rank
Pace
no rank5.1
25%no rank
Returning PPA
no rank18%
#4949th
Power rank
7th#7
#7171st
Recruiting rank
16th#16

Cell color follows national rank:top 4091st or worse.

Open total59.3
Model total58.0
NO BADGE THIS GAME

RATINGS AS OF: WSU wk 17 · MISS wk 17 · RANKS PRINTED IN EVERY TINTED CELL

Model margin (home)
+29.2
Open spread
-32.5
Close spread
-33.0
Close total
58.5

Graded, all four markets

Every market grades against the close. The edge is the only one we badge as a pick; the other three ride along for calibration.

WSU21
FINALVaught-Hemingway Stadium
MISS24
  • WinOle MissWIN HIT
  • ATSWashington StateATS HIT
  • TotalsUNDER 58.5TOTAL HIT
  • Edgeno badgePASS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

The totals edge compares the model's total to the opening number. A gap of 3 or more points earns the badge, and it's the only pick on the card. Win and spread numbers are predictions we publish for the record, unbadged. The ATS lean stays tracked but unbadged: it has never beaten the closing line, even though the model beats the opener by about half a point of line value.

All four markets grade against the closing line once the game goes final. The full ledger lives on the track record.

Back to the week 7 board